From: Larry G on
On May 1, 2:21 pm, Scott in SoCal <scottenazt...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> Last time on rec.autos.driving, Harry K <turnkey4...(a)hotmail.com>
> said:
>
> >> >black boxes in each new car?  I bet all both the manufacturers and
> >> >customers are going to like that idea - not!
>
> >> They're certainly not going to appreciate the additional CO$T.
>
> >Customers maybe, manufacturers won't care - that cost is paid by the
> >consumer.
>
> Manufacturers absolutely will care. The more cars cost, the harder it
> is to sell them. Lower sales means less profit for the automakers.
> --
> The MFFY Litmus Test:
> If your maneuver forces another driver who has the right-of-way
> to alter course or speed, what you did was probably MFFY.

if the govt "believes" that ultimately black boxes will result in less
accidents, and less irresponsible driving.. and a way to get to the
bottom of claims like unintended acceleration.. brakes that don't
work, etc... then I think it's a no brainer.

you asked to give an example. My understanding is that things like air
bags, ESC, and such have a positive cost benefit. Didn't the
insurance companies make this point?

If the insurance company offered you a 30% reduction in your premium
if you allowed an on-board event recorder.. would you do it? 40%,
50%? how about they tell you they are going to RAISE your premiums
50% if you do not?

Bonus Question: if the insurance company did that to you - would you
go running to that big bad over-regulating nasty big govt for help?
From: Harry K on
On May 1, 11:21 am, Scott in SoCal <scottenazt...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> Last time on rec.autos.driving, Harry K <turnkey4...(a)hotmail.com>
> said:
>
> >> >black boxes in each new car?  I bet all both the manufacturers and
> >> >customers are going to like that idea - not!
>
> >> They're certainly not going to appreciate the additional CO$T.
>
> >Customers maybe, manufacturers won't care - that cost is paid by the
> >consumer.
>
> Manufacturers absolutely will care. The more cars cost, the harder it
> is to sell them. Lower sales means less profit for the automakers.
> --
> The MFFY Litmus Test:
> If your maneuver forces another driver who has the right-of-way
> to alter course or speed, what you did was probably MFFY.

When the cost to every manufacturer goes up, the competition to sell
stays the same. There is a market out there that will be satified no
matter what the cost (withing reason).

That is the same reason the manufacturers are not overly concerned
about raising taxes - they know it just passes through them and the
consumer pays it.

Harry K
From: Larry G on
On May 1, 6:05 pm, Brent <tetraethylleadREMOVET...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> On 2010-05-01, Larry G <gross.la...(a)gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
> > On May 1, 2:21 pm, Scott in SoCal <scottenazt...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> >> Last time on rec.autos.driving, Harry K <turnkey4...(a)hotmail.com>
> >> said:
>
> >> >> >black boxes in each new car?  I bet all both the manufacturers and
> >> >> >customers are going to like that idea - not!
>
> >> >> They're certainly not going to appreciate the additional CO$T.
>
> >> >Customers maybe, manufacturers won't care - that cost is paid by the
> >> >consumer.
>
> >> Manufacturers absolutely will care. The more cars cost, the harder it
> >> is to sell them. Lower sales means less profit for the automakers.
> >> --
> >> The MFFY Litmus Test:
> >> If your maneuver forces another driver who has the right-of-way
> >> to alter course or speed, what you did was probably MFFY.
>
> > if the govt "believes" that ultimately black boxes will result in less
> > accidents, and less irresponsible driving.. and a way to get to the
> > bottom of claims like unintended acceleration.. brakes that don't
> > work, etc... then I think it's a no brainer.
>
> > you asked to give an example. My understanding is that things like air
> > bags, ESC, and such have a positive cost benefit.   Didn't the
> > insurance companies make this point?
>
> > If the insurance company offered you a 30% reduction in your premium
> > if you allowed an on-board event recorder.. would you do it? 40%,
> > 50%?   how about they tell you they are going to RAISE your premiums
> > 50% if you do not?
>
> > Bonus Question: if the insurance company did that to you - would you
> > go running to  that big bad over-regulating nasty big govt for help?
>
> If an insurance company did that to me it would because they went to
> government and had laws changed/passed. Otherwise I'd just go to a
> different insurance company when they raised my rates for no reason
> other than a desire to track me. Lots of people don't want to be
> tracked. There is just barely enough of a free market in auto insurance
> in IL that such customers can go elsewhere.
>
> Every notice that in some states auto insurance is very expensive for no
> good reason? There's a reason for that, and it starts with a "G".
>
> It is the closing off of a free market that forces people to seek help
> in the political process rather than just taking their business
> elsewhere.

well.. if the market was truly "free" like it was before govt anti-
trust laws - you would find companies colluding with each other to fix
prices and other actions to increase their profits and disable true
competition.

and in terms of safety - would you really want a market where
companies could sell cars without air bags and the like - for
cheaper?

some folks might, I dunno
From: Larry G on
On May 2, 4:04 pm, Scott in SoCal <scottenazt...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> Last time on rec.autos.driving, Harry K <turnkey4...(a)hotmail.com>
> said:
>
>
>
>
>
> >On May 1, 11:21 am, Scott in SoCal <scottenazt...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> >> Last time on rec.autos.driving, Harry K <turnkey4...(a)hotmail.com>
> >> said:
>
> >> >> >black boxes in each new car?  I bet all both the manufacturers and
> >> >> >customers are going to like that idea - not!
>
> >> >> They're certainly not going to appreciate the additional CO$T.
>
> >> >Customers maybe, manufacturers won't care - that cost is paid by the
> >> >consumer.
>
> >> Manufacturers absolutely will care. The more cars cost, the harder it
> >> is to sell them. Lower sales means less profit for the automakers.
>
> >When the cost to every manufacturer goes up, the competition to sell
> >stays the same.
>
> Doesn't matter. If the prices of new cars go up, fewer people will be
> able to afford new cars, and fewer will be sold.
>
> >There is a market out there that will be satified no
> >matter what the cost (withing reason).
>
> And more and more of it will be satisfied either with a used car or by
> keeping and repairing the current car.

I dunno. There are quite a few cars out there that are pretty low
priced and meet the standards and from what I hear both China and
India plan on offering fully compliant cars in the sub 15K range....
sub 10K if you believe this:

http://usnews.rankingsandreviews.com/cars-trucks/daily-news/090608-Tata-Nano-World-s-Cheapest-Car-Coming-to-U-S-/

From: Harry K on
On May 2, 1:04 pm, Scott in SoCal <scottenazt...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> Last time on rec.autos.driving, Harry K <turnkey4...(a)hotmail.com>
> said:
>
>
>
>
>
> >On May 1, 11:21 am, Scott in SoCal <scottenazt...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> >> Last time on rec.autos.driving, Harry K <turnkey4...(a)hotmail.com>
> >> said:
>
> >> >> >black boxes in each new car?  I bet all both the manufacturers and
> >> >> >customers are going to like that idea - not!
>
> >> >> They're certainly not going to appreciate the additional CO$T.
>
> >> >Customers maybe, manufacturers won't care - that cost is paid by the
> >> >consumer.
>
> >> Manufacturers absolutely will care. The more cars cost, the harder it
> >> is to sell them. Lower sales means less profit for the automakers.
>
> >When the cost to every manufacturer goes up, the competition to sell
> >stays the same.
>
> Doesn't matter. If the prices of new cars go up, fewer people will be
> able to afford new cars, and fewer will be sold.
>
> >There is a market out there that will be satified no
> >matter what the cost (withing reason).
>
> And more and more of it will be satisfied either with a used car or by
> keeping and repairing the current car.
> --
> The MFFY Litmus Test:
> If your maneuver forces another driver who has the right-of-way
> to alter course or speed, what you did was probably MFFY.- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -

Would you care to back that with statistics on how many new cars sold
in, say 2008 comaared to 2000? I don't have any figures but if the
number was less in 2008 I would be very surprised.

The cost of installing airbags didn't have much (if any) slow down on
new cars sold when that was mandated.
Harry K
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