From: Derek C on
On May 24, 1:05 pm, Naich <d...(a)mrao.cam.ac.uk> wrote:
> On Mon, 24 May 2010, Tony Raven wrote:
> > Derek C wrote:
>
> >>> See: "The Effectiveness of Bicycle Helmets:A Review", Dr. Michael
> >>> Henderson [ISBN 0 T310 6435 6]
>
> >>> Cue the psycholists whining that Guy Chapman's completely made up
> >>> statistics trounce any medical study.
>
> >> These studies might prove useful:
>
> >>http://depts.washington.edu/hiprc/practices/topic/bicycles/helmeteffe....
>
> >> They show that cycle helmets reduce injuries to the skull, brain, and
> >> upper face by significant factors.
>
> > They also show that helmets cut leg injuries by 75%.
>
> Where?
>

Part of the psycholist folk lore!

Derek C
From: Peter Clinch on
Derek C wrote:
> On May 24, 1:05 pm, Naich <d...(a)mrao.cam.ac.uk> wrote:
>> On Mon, 24 May 2010, Tony Raven wrote:
>>> Derek C wrote:
>>>>> See: "The Effectiveness of Bicycle Helmets:A Review", Dr. Michael
>>>>> Henderson [ISBN 0 T310 6435 6]
>>>>> Cue the psycholists whining that Guy Chapman's completely made up
>>>>> statistics trounce any medical study.
>>>> These studies might prove useful:
>>>> http://depts.washington.edu/hiprc/practices/topic/bicycles/helmeteffe...
>>>> They show that cycle helmets reduce injuries to the skull, brain, and
>>>> upper face by significant factors.
>>> They also show that helmets cut leg injuries by 75%.
>> Where?
>>
>
> Part of the psycholist folk lore!

IIRC, the original "cut brain injuries 85%" data was taken and assessed
for the difference to leg injuries rather than heads. Since it was a
case control study on the effectiveness of bicycle safety helmets it was
naturally assumed that the difference in injuries between case and
control groups must be down to the presence or not of a helmet.

And the case group had 75% fewer leg injuries.

So either the basic methodology in the original paper (and consequently
the result) is utterly duff, or helmets really give significant
protection to heads.

Your call.

Pete.
--
Peter Clinch Medical Physics IT Officer
Tel 44 1382 660111 ext. 33637 Univ. of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital
Fax 44 1382 640177 Dundee DD1 9SY Scotland UK
net p.j.clinch(a)dundee.ac.uk http://www.dundee.ac.uk/~pjclinch/
From: Peter Clinch on
Derek C wrote:

> I have already pointed out that data may be skewed by just looking at
> hospital admissions and reported accidents, which is why I suggested a
> truly randomised study. Then the lying whatsits at 'cyclehelmets.org'
> will have no confounding factors to hide behind.

If it was /really/ that easy, why do you think it hasn't been done yet?

I think BHRF would /love/ clear-cut evidence. If it turns out that
cyclists can genuinely be much, much safer, why wouldn't all the
cyclists that make up BHRF's editorial board be happy that they high
quality evidence they could save their own skins?

You have yet to provide any reason why BHRF have anything to gain by
deliberate lying. They have a lot to /lose/. Professional reputations,
personal safety, blood on their hands and a great deal of private,
unpaid time.

If there weren't /really/ holes in the evidence, what would anyone gain
by inventing some?

Pete.
--
Peter Clinch Medical Physics IT Officer
Tel 44 1382 660111 ext. 33637 Univ. of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital
Fax 44 1382 640177 Dundee DD1 9SY Scotland UK
net p.j.clinch(a)dundee.ac.uk http://www.dundee.ac.uk/~pjclinch/
From: Peter Clinch on
Peter Clinch wrote:

> So either the basic methodology in the original paper (and consequently
> the result) is utterly duff, or helmets really give significant
> protection to heads.

Ho ho, that should've said "legs", of course... My bad.

Pete.
--
Peter Clinch Medical Physics IT Officer
Tel 44 1382 660111 ext. 33637 Univ. of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital
Fax 44 1382 640177 Dundee DD1 9SY Scotland UK
net p.j.clinch(a)dundee.ac.uk http://www.dundee.ac.uk/~pjclinch/
From: Derek C on
On May 24, 2:00 pm, Peter Clinch <p.j.cli...(a)dundee.ac.uk> wrote:
> Peter Clinch wrote:
> > So either the basic methodology in the original paper (and consequently
> > the result) is utterly duff, or helmets really give significant
> > protection to heads.
>
> Ho ho, that should've said "legs", of course...  My bad.
>
> Pete.
> --
Freudian slip perhaps?

Derek C